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Monetary Policy Review - June 2016

According to provisional estimates of the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS), the Sri Lankan economy grew by 5.5 per cent, in real terms, in the first quarter of 2016 compared to the growth of 2.5 per cent recorded in the last quarter of 2015. Economic growth was mainly supported by the expansion of Industry and Services related activities, which grew by 8.3 per cent and 4.9 per cent, respectively, during the first quarter of 2016 in value added terms. Meanwhile, Agriculture related activities recorded a moderate growth of 1.9 per cent during this period. The growth rate recorded in the first quarter was broadly in line with expectations for the year.

Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) Survey

The Statistics Department of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) initiated conducting PMI survey for Manufacturing and Services sectors in the country starting from May 2015. The purpose of the survey is to provide purchasing professionals, business decision-makers and economic analysts with a timely set of data to help better understand industry conditions. This survey is conducted monthly by the department and it completed one year cycle in April 2016. Thus, the CBSL decided to release the survey results for the information of the general public. The report on the PMI survey results for May 2016 along with the past series of PMI is given below. The survey results can be accessed via CBSL website under Statistics section which will be updated on monthly basis.

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A Statement from the Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka

The Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka Mr Arjuna Mahendran informed the Monetary Board at its meeting held on Friday, 24th June, 2016 that he would not be seeking re-appointment as Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka when his term finishes on Thursday, 30th June, 2016 until the Parliamentary Committee on Public Enterprises makes its findings known on issues related to the issuance of Treasury Bonds in the years 2015 and 2016.

Inflation in May 2016

Inflation, as measured by the change in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) (2013=100), which is compiled by the Department of Census and Statistics, increased to 5.3 per cent in May 2016 from 4.3 per cent in April 2016, on year-on-year basis. Both Food and all Nonfood categories except for the Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, and Other Fuels sub-category contributed towards the increase in year-on-year inflation.

The change in the NCPI measured on an annual average basis increased to 2.7 per cent in May 2016 from 2.6 per cent in April 2016.

External Sector Performance - February 2016

Sri Lanka’s external sector showed a modest performance during the month of February 2016 as the trade deficit contracted and foreign currency inflows in the form of tourist earnings and workers’ remittances continued to record a steady pace of growth. Despite the decline in earnings from exports during the month, the larger decline in expenditure on fuel imports, food and beverages and transport equipment resulted in the contraction of the trade deficit. However, the government securities market and the Colombo Stock Exchange recorded net outflows during the period.

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Clarification Regarding False Information Published in the Media About Expenses Incurred by the Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka

It has been reported in the media that allegations had been made by members of the Parliamentary opposition that the Governor of the Central Bank has misused public funds.

The CBSL wishes to state that neither the Governor nor any officer of the CBSL has used public money for personal expenses, or misused public funds in any manner whatsoever. The expenses relating to all official duties and events attended by the Governor and CBSL officials both locally and internationally are borne by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, similar to the general practice of any other Ministry or Department.

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