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NCPI based Inflation increased in October 2021

Headline inflation, as measured by the year-on-year (Y-o-Y) change in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI, 2013=100), increased to 8.3 per cent in October 2021 from 6.2 per cent in September 2021. This was driven by monthly increases of prices of items in both Food and Non-food categories. Meanwhile, Food inflation (Y-o-Y) increased to 11.7 per cent in October 2021 from 10.0 per cent in September 2021, while Non-Food inflation (Y-o-Y) also increased to 5.4 per cent in October 2021 from 3.0 per cent in September 2021.

The NCPI, measured on an annual average basis, increased to 5.7 per cent in October 2021 from 5.5 per cent in September 2021.

Monetary Board Appoints Four New Assistant Governors

The Monetary Board, at its meeting held on 17th November 2021 has promoted Mr. K G P Sirikumara, Mr. D Kumaratunge, Mrs. U L Muthugala, and Mr. C P S Bandara to the post of Assistant Governor with effect from 17th November 2021.

Sri Lanka Purchasing Managers’ Index - October 2021

Purchasing Managers' Indices for both Manufacturing and Services activities expanded in October 2021.

Indicating a strong revival in manufacturing activities in the country, the manufacturing PMI reached a 7-month high at 60.4 in October 2021.

Services PMI increased to 57.9 in October 2021 underpinned by the increases in New Businesses, Business Activities and Expectations for Activity sub-indices.

External Sector Performance - September 2021

Merchandise trade deficit narrowed to US dollars 495 million in September 2021, compared to US dollars 525 million in September 2020. Earnings from exports continued to record values in excess of US dollars 1.0 billion for the fourth consecutive month in 2021 while import expenditure remained at almost the same level as in September 2020. Tourist arrivals continued the growth momentum with a notable increase over the previous month. A moderation of workers’ remittances was observed in September 2021. The financial account of the balance of payments strengthened during the month with the receipt of the proceeds of the syndicated loan facility from the China Development Bank (CDB) and remaining proceeds of the bilateral currency swap arrangement between the Central Bank of Sri Lanka and the Bangladesh Bank. Meanwhile, the weighted average spot exchange rate in the interbank market appreciated and stabilised during the month with action by the Central Bank to clear the backlog of shipments of essential imports and guidance on the exchange rate.

Speculation that worker remittances will be forcibly converted into Sri Lankan Rupees under the proposed Securitised Financing Arrangement (SFA) is completely unfounded

Unfounded speculation is being spread by parties with vested interests that the recently announced request for proposals (RFP) in relation to the Securitised Financing Arrangement (SFA) is aimed at converting all worker remittances into Sri Lankan rupees upon receipt by licensed banks.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) categorically states that there is no truth whatsoever in this allegation.

Securitised Financing Arrangement for the Government of Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka receives around United States Dollars (USD) 7,000 million in workers’ remittances annually. On the strength of this steady foreign currency inflow, the Government of Sri Lanka (GOSL) intends to raise medium-term foreign currency financing, by securitising foreign currency receipts of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) under the mandatory sale of 10 per cent of workers’ remittances converted into Sri Lankan Rupees by licensed banks. Since the introduction of this mandatory sale requirement on 28 May 2021, an average of USD 25 million per month has been accumulated under this arrangement by the CBSL. With recent focused efforts to strengthen remittance flows by the CBSL in collaboration with stakeholder agencies, such inflows are expected to increase in the coming years.

The proposed Securitised Financing Arrangement (SFA) would be denominated in USD, Euro, Chinese Renminbi (RMB), Japanese Yen (Yen), or in any Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) currency. The SFA is expected to be raised at a fixed or a floating rate for a medium-term tenure. Repayment can be in bullet or in tranches, or on a reducing balance linked to the securitised arrangement, while interest can be paid periodically, as mutually agreed. The proceeds of the SFA will be used for the purposes of financing the expenditure as approved in the Annual Budget of the GOSL.

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