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External Sector Performance - July 2019

The trade deficit widened in July 2019 as exports fell more than the decline in imports. Export earnings recorded a decline of 7.0 per cent (year-on-year) after a steady growth for several months while import expenditure declined by 2.2 per cent (year-on-year) in July 2019.

The decline in export earnings in July 2019 can be largely attributed to a reduction in earnings from petroleum products due to lower prices of bunker fuel and the export of a naval craft in July 2018, which resulted in a higher export base in the corresponding month of the previous year.

The trade deficit widened to US dollars 717 million in July 2019 compared to the deficit of US dollars 316 million recorded in June 2019.

Tourist arrivals observed a notable recovery from the impact of the Easter Sunday attacks recording an increase of 83.4 per cent in July 2019 over the preceding month.

Withdrawal of the Monetary Law Act Order on Maximum Interest Rates on Sri Lanka Rupee Deposits of Licensed Banks

Consequent to the issuance of the Directions to the licensed banks by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka on Enhancing Efficiency of the Transmission of Recent Policy Decisions to Market Lending Rates, where licensed banks are required to reduce its rupee denominated market lending rates, the Monetary Board has decided to withdraw the Monetary Law Act Order No. 01 of 2019 issued on 26 April 2019 imposing Maximum Interest Rates on Sri Lanka Rupee Deposits, with effect from 24 September 2019.

Provincial Gross Domestic Product - 2018

Western province continued to account for the largest share as per the Provincial Gross Domestic Product (PGDP)  estimated by the Statistics Department of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) for 2018. Central and North Western provinces were the second and the third highest contributors, respectively.

The highest increase in PGDP share on year-on-year basis was reported in Western province. The only other province that reported an increase was North Central province. The shares of Central, Sabaragamuwa and Uva provinces decreased in 2018, while the shares of North Western, Southern, Eastern and Northern provinces remained unchanged. 

IMF Reaches Staff-Level Agreement on the Sixth Review of Sri Lanka’s Extended Fund Facility

The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. Based on the findings so far, staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF's Executive Board for discussion and decision.

Enhancing Efficiency of the Transmission of Recent Policy Decisions to Market Lending Rates

Over the past eleven months, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka has taken a number of monetary and regulatory policy measures to induce a reduction in market lending rates. These measures include the reduction of the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank by 100 basis points in two steps, the reduction of the Statutory Reserve Ratio (SRR) applicable on rupee deposit liabilities of Licensed Commercial Banks (LCBs) by 2.50 percentage points that released around Rs. 150 billion of additional liquidity to the financial market, and the imposition of caps on rupee deposit interest rates offered by licensed financial institutions that enabled them to reduce the cost of mobilising funds from the general public. 

Inflation increased in August 2019

Headline inflation as measured by the year-on-year change in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI, 2013=100)  increased to 3.4 per cent in August 2019 from 2.2 per cent in July 2019. The low base that prevailed in the corresponding month of the previous year and the monthly increases of prices of items in both Food and Non-food categories contributed to this increase. Meanwhile, in August 2019, year-on-year Food and Non-food inflation recorded 0.6 per cent and 5.6 per cent respectively. 

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