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International Sovereign Bond Issuances of the Government of Sri Lanka

The Government of Sri Lanka (GOSL) has been issuing International Sovereign Bonds (ISBs) since 2007. GOSL has maintained an unblemished record on servicing of its debt obligations timely, including ISBs, since independence.

ISBs issued in January and April 2014 in United State Dollar (USD) 1,000 million and 500 million, respectively, are due to mature in January and April 2019. The Government has already made pre-funding arrangements for meeting the maturing ISB obligations in 2019 through proceeds of divestment of non-strategic assets and funding through syndicate arrangements.

While exploring an ideal window to further access international capital markets, GOSL and Central Bank of Sri Lanka have already initiated necessary actions to further diversify international market based foreign funding sources to jurisdictions outside conventional Eurodollar ISB issuances.

Recent Economic Developments: Highlights of 2018 and Prospects for 2019

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka today released its half yearly publication - “Recent Economic Developments: Highlights of 2018 and Prospects for 2019”. 

A summary of the performance of the Sri Lankan economy in 2018 as reflected in this publication is given below:

The Sri Lankan economy faced renewed challenges emanating from global market developments, which disrupted the steady stabilisation path observed up to the first quarter of the year. The economy grew at a moderate pace of 3.6 per cent in the first half of 2018, following relatively low growth of 3.3 per cent recorded during the year 2017. Agricultural activities continued their rebound in the first half of 2018 supported by favourable weather conditions that prevailed during this period. The growth in industrial activities slowed, mainly due to the subdued performance in the construction and mining and quarrying subsectors. The expansion in services activities was broad-based, driven mainly by the growth of financial services, wholesale and retail trade and other personal services activities. Meanwhile, an increase in the unemployment rate was observed during the first half of 2018. Consumer price inflation has remained subdued thus far in 2018, although temporarily edging up in some months, mainly as a result of movements in volatile food prices and upward adjustments to domestic petroleum and other administered price.

External Sector Performance - August 2018

The external sector performance remained subdued in August 2018. During the month, the deficit in the trade account narrowed marginally compared to a year earlier as the rise in export income outpaced the growth in import expenditure. Meanwhile, other inflows to the current account continued to be modest in August 2018 with a marginal increase in earnings from tourism and a decline in workers’ remittances. On a net basis, the financial account of the Balance of Payments (BOP) recorded outflows during the month, due to withdrawals of foreign investments from both the government securities market and the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) and continued debt service payments. These developments, alongside the broad based strengthening of the US dollar, continued to exert pressure on the exchange rate to depreciate, thus necessitating intervention by the Central Bank in the domestic foreign exchange market to curtail undue excessive volatility in the exchange rate. As at end August 2018, gross official reserves amounted to US dollars 8.6 billion. 

The Parliament of Sri Lanka passes the resolution to raise Rs. 310 billion by way of loans in or outside Sri Lanka for Active Liability Management by the Government of Sri Lanka

The Parliament on 26.10.2018 resolved under section 3 of the Active Liability Management Act of 2018 (ALMA) that “a sum not exceeding Rs. 310.0 billion may be raised by the Government of Sri Lanka (GOSL) by way of loans, in or outside Sri Lanka for such purposes as specified in the provisions of the Active Liability Management Act No 8 of 2018”.

Land Price Index – First Half of 2018

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) compiles and analyses several indicators, in order to monitor the developments in the real estate sector. Accordingly, the Land Price Index (LPI) (base year: 1998) has been compiled annually from 1998-2008 and bi-annually from 2009-2017, covering 50 centers of 5 DS divisions in the Colombo District. With the increasing importance of monitoring land prices due to the recent developments in the real estate sector, the geographical coverage of LPI was expanded to 82 centers covering all DS divisions in the Colombo District and revised its base period from 1998 to 1st half of 2017 to accommodate this expansion. The LPI with improved coverage is available bi-annually from 2017 onwards.

In view of the diverse nature of the land use and to maintain homogeneity, three sub-indices for residential, commercial and industrial lands are computed separately, using per perch bare land prices collected from the Government Valuation Department. The overall LPI is computed by taking the average of these three sub-indices.

 

Inflation in September 2018

Headline Inflation, as measured by the change in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI, 2013=100), which is compiled by the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS), decreased to 0.9 per cent in September 2018, the lowest since January 2016, from 2.5 per cent in August 2018 on year-on-year basis. The deceleration in year-on-year inflation in September was driven by both the base effect and the monthly decline in Food prices. The change in the NCPI measured on an annual average basis decreased from 4.7 per cent in August 2018 to 4.0 per cent in September 2018.

When the monthly change is considered, the NCPI decreased from 125.4 index points in August 2018 to 124.4 index points in September 2018 due to decline in prices of the items in the Food category, particularly that of vegetables, coconuts, green chillies and fresh fish. Meanwhile, price increases were observed in the Non-food category, particularly that of Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco; Transport and Restaurants and Hotels sub-categories.

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