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Inflation in October 2018

Headline inflation as measured by the year-on-year change in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI, 2013=100) continued to decline for the third consecutive month, recording 0.1 per cent in October 2018, the lowest since January 2016. The deceleration observed in year-on-year inflation in October 2018 is mainly driven by the higher base prevailed during the corresponding month of the previous year due to higher food prices. Year-on-year Food inflation dropped for the third consecutive month and recorded -6.6 per cent in October 2018. However, year-on-year Non-food inflation continued to increase and reached 5.8 per cent during the month.

The change in the NCPI measured on an annual average basis decreased to 3.3 per cent in October 2018 from 4.0 per cent in September 2018.

Moody’s Latest Rating Decision is Unfounded

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) is of the view that the decision by Moody’s Investors Service (Moody's) on 20 November 2018 to downgrade the Government of Sri Lanka's foreign currency issuer and senior unsecured ratings from B1 (Negative) to B2 (Stable) does not properly reflect the country’s macroeconomic fundamentals, and therefore unwarranted.

The CBSL wishes to reiterate that Sri Lanka’s macroeconomic position has neither deteriorated nor has there been any policy slippage since Moody’s last rating decision in July 2018, in spite of the recent developments in the country’s political sphere. In fact, based on satisfactory programme performance, the Sri Lankan authorities and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reached staff-level agreement following the fifth review of the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme on 26 October 2018, and the agreement was to be announced on 29 October 2018. The programme discussions are currently on hold, pending clarity on the political situation.

Sri Lanka Prosperity Index - 2017

Sri Lanka Prosperity Index (SLPI), increased to 0.771 in 2017 from 0.661 recorded in 2016, mainly due to improvements in ‘Economy and Business Climate’ and ‘Socio-Economic Infrastructure’ sub-indices. Economy and Business Climate sub-index has improved during 2017, due to increase in per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and enhancements of the aspects associated with employment. With regard to the sub-index of Socio-Economic Infrastructure, improvements to the road network with the extensions to the expressways, construction of bridges and flyover projects, availability of electricity facilities and improvements in pipe borne water quality were the key drivers. Even though ‘Well-being of the People’ sub-index has declined during 2017 mainly due to the reduced levels of purity of environment and air quality, improvements were recorded in the aspects of availability of healthcare facilities, availability and quality of education, wealth of people and their engagement in entertainment activities.

Technical Session on “Forging Ahead with Resilience” for Boards of Directors of Licensed Banks

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka with a view to ensuring a stronger and dynamic banking sector which is capable of proactively facing challenges in digital era, hosted a Technical Session to further enhance and update the knowledge of Boards of Directors, Chief Executive Officers and other Key Management Personnel of all licensed banks operating in Sri Lanka, under the theme “Forging Ahead with Resilience”, on 14 November 2018 at the Centre for Banking Studies, Rajagiriya.

Sri Lanka Purchasing Managers’ Index - October 2018

All the sub-indices of PMI Manufacturing recorded values above the neutral 50.0 threshold signalling an overall expansion in October compared to September. The improvement observed in manufacturing activities in October was mainly driven by the improvement in new orders and production, especially in manufacturing of food and beverages activities, led by the positive outlook with the seasonal demand. Even though the employment in the manufacturing of food and beverages activities has improved with seasonal trend, overall employment slowed down. This was mainly evident in manufacturing of textiles, wearing apparels, leather and related activities due to difficulties to find employees in the market.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka Requests the General Public to be Attentive to Financial Scams/Phishing Emails

The attention of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) has been drawn to recent grievances received from the general public regarding financial scams spreading through phishing emails/ social media messages.  CBSL has noticed that the image of the Head Office building, the Logo of CBSL, names of senior officials of CBSL, are being used by scammers and fraudsters to solicit money from the public by disguising such scams as being sent from a trustworthy entity. 

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