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Monetary Policy Review: No. 1 – 2017

Contributed by both food and non-food inflation, headline inflation, as measured by the year-on-year change in the Colombo Consumers’ Price Index (CCPI, 2013=100), increased to 5.5 per cent in January 2017 from 4.5 per cent in December 2016. Core inflation, based on CCPI, also accelerated to 7.0 per cent in January 2017 from 5.8 per cent in December 2016. Headline inflation and core inflation, based on the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI, 2013=100), which is available with a time lag, also reflected an upward trend in December 2016, recording 4.2 per cent and 6.7 per cent, respectively, on a year-on-year basis. In spite of the increase in inflation in recent times, which is mainly attributed to the impact of tax adjustments and the adverse weather conditions, inflation is projected to remain in mid-single digit levels, on average during the year supported by appropriate supply side and demand management policies.

External Sector Performance – October 2016

Sri Lanka’s external sector recorded a modest performance in October 2016 with a deterioration in the trade deficit amidst continued growth in tourist earnings. The trade deficit widened in October as a result of higher import expenditure despite a marginal growth in export earnings. The significant increase in import expenditure in October 2016 was primarily due to the import of a dredger vessel for the Port City construction project. Meanwhile, workers’ remittances were marginally higher while a healthy growth was observed in earnings from tourism during October 2016. Although inflows to the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) and long term loan proceeds to the government supported the financial account of the Balance of Payments (BOP), the government securities market witnessed a net outflow during October 2016.

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Inflation in December 2016

Inflation, as measured by the change in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) (2013=100), which is compiled by the Department of Census and Statistics, increased marginally to 4.2 per cent in December 2016 from 4.1 per cent in November 2016, on year-on-year basis. Both Food and Non-food categories contributed towards the year-on-year inflation in December 2016.

The change in the NCPI measured on an annual average basis remained unchanged from last month at 4.0 per cent in December 2016. 

A Commemorative Coin to mark the 100th Anniversary of Visakha Vidyalaya, Colombo 5

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) issued an uncirculated silver commemorative coin with a face value of Rs. 2000 to mark the 100th Anniversary of Visakha Vidyalaya, Colombo 05 in recognition of its contribution to the nation as a premier school in the country.

The first coin was officially presented to His Excellency the President Maithripala Sirisena by Dr.Indrajit Coomaraswamy, Governor of CBSL, at the ceremony held at the Jeremias Dias Hall of Visakha Vidyalaya, Colombo 05 on 23.01.2017.

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Statement issued by the Monetary Board on measures taken with respect to the Employees Provident Fund

There have been several media reports recently raising concerns with respect to the Employees’ Provident Fund (EPF).

An internal examination is currently underway under the direction of the Monetary Board on transactions of EPF in Government securities during 2015 and 2016. The law enforcement authorities have also been requested to carry out an external independent investigation into the issuance of Government securities in 2015 and 2016 and related matters, as it involves examining internal operations carried out by the staff of the Central Bank.

With regard to the operations of the EPF, the Monetary Board, during the past six months, has taken several measures to strengthen the decision making process with respect to investments. These serve to safeguard the interests of the members of the EPF.

Sri Lanka Purchasing Managers' Index Survey - December 2016

The Manufacturing sector PMI was 58.3 in December indicating that the manufacturing activities continued to expand in December 2016.

The Services Sector PMI increased marginally to 59.8 index points in December from 59.7 index points in November 2016.

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