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Inflation in January 2018

Inflation, as measured by the change in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) (2013=100), which is compiled by the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS), decreased to 5.4 per cent in January 2018 from 7.3 per cent in December 2017, on year-on-year basis. This decline is due to the high base prevailed in January 2017 as well as the monthly decline in Food prices in January 2018.

The change in the NCPI measured on an annual average basis decreased from 7.7 per cent in December 2017 to 7.6 per cent in January 2018.

When the monthly change is considered, the NCPI decreased from 126.6 index points in December 2017 to 125.8 index points in January 2018. This monthly decline was mainly due to the decline in prices of the items in the Food category, particularly that of vegetables, green chillies, coconuts, red onions and rice. Nevertheless, prices of fresh fish and some fruits increased. Meanwhile, price increases were observed in Restaurants and Hotels; and Transport subcategories in the Non-food category. 

Sri Lanka Listing in the Financial Action Task Force and Measures Initiated by Sri Lanka to Improve Global AML/CFT Standards

The Financial Action Task Force (FATF), the global policy setter has introduced 40 recommendations on Anti-Money Laundering and Countering the Financing of Terrorism (AML/CFT) in order to combat money laundering/ terrorist financing and other related offences globally.  The Asia Pacific Group on Money Laundering (APG) functions as the FATF’s regional affiliated body and monitors the level of compliance with the FATF recommendations in the region. Sri Lanka is a founding member of APG.  

The FATF evaluates legal, institutional framework and effective implementation of AML/CFT measures of countries regularly through regional monitoring bodies. Sri Lanka was subjected to its 1st Mutual Evaluation (ME) by APG in 2006 and the 2nd ME during 2014/15. The 2nd Mutual Evaluation Report (MER) on Sri Lanka which was adopted in July, 2015, recommended Sri Lanka to initiate a number of actions to rectify the AML/CFT deficiencies identified during the ME. 

SL Purchasing Managers’ Index Survey - January 2018

The Manufacturing Sector PMI recorded 51.7 index points in January from 59.1 index points in December 2017. This indicates that the Manufacturing activities expanded at a slower rate in January compared to December 2017 after the seasonal peak observed during last two months of the year 2017. This was mainly driven by the slowdown in the Production and New Orders sub-indices. Further, the Employment sub-index also slowed down during the month as compared to December 2017 while Stock of Purchases subindex contracted during the month. Meanwhile, the Suppliers’ Delivery Time sub-index lengthened at a slower rate compared to previous month. Overall, all the sub-indices of PMI except from stock of purchases sub-index recorded values above the neutral 50.0 threshold signalling an overall expansion in January 2018. Moreover, The Expectation for activities indicates an improvement for the next three months.

Regulatory Action on a Primary Dealer – Pan Asia Banking Corporation PLC

The Monetary Board of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka on 14th February 2018, acting in terms of the Regulations made under the Registered Stock and Securities Ordinance and the Local Treasury Bills Ordinance, has decided to extend the suspension from carrying on the business and activities of a Primary Dealer by Pan Asia Banking Corporation PLC (PABC) for a period of six months with effect from 10.00 a.m. on 15th February 2018, in order to continue the investigations being conducted by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka.

The Central Bank wishes to emphasize that this regulatory action restricts PABC’s access to the primary auctions for government securities. It does not affect any of the other activities/ services of PABC. 

 

Monetary Policy Review - No. 1 of 2018

Considering the recent developments in the domestic and international macroeconomic environment, the Monetary Board, at its meeting held on 14 February 2018, was of the view that the current monetary policy stance is appropriate and decided to maintain the policy interest rates of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka at their present levels.

The decision of the Monetary Board is consistent with the objective of maintaining inflation at mid-single digit levels over the medium term and thereby facilitating a sustainable growth trajectory. The rationale underpinning the monetary policy stance is set out below.

Clarification over Recent Media Reports on Recording of Government Debt

Attention of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) has been drawn over the media reports on Government debt recording and maintenance of accounts published on 8th February 2018. 

CBSL compiles and publishes Central Government debt based on its database on issuance of domestic debt and international commercial borrowings on behalf of the Government and also the information it receives from the Ministry of Finance (MoF) and External Resources Department (ERD) of the Ministry of National Policies and Economic Affairs. CBSL regularly and closely coordinates with MoF and ERD towards the accuracy of its published debt statistics and in this connection it also has the accessibility to the debt recording system maintained by ERD. Further, in compilation and servicing of Central Government debt, CBSL uses its own recording systems with respect to domestic and international commercial borrowings. Central Government debt so compiled by CBSL has been reviewed and accepted by international agencies including the International Monetary Fund.

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